SF Market Sees Return of Multiple Offers


The two-unit building above at 208-210 Caselli in Eureka Valley is the latest property in San Francisco target by a multitude of serious buyers in San Francisco. Vacant and featuring two 3BR/2BA units with wood-burning fireplaces, open floor plans and hardwood floors (plus two separate garages), Caselli was listed for $1,399,000 on February 9th. The sellers received 14 offers all over the asking price yesterday (on a holiday, no less).

And Caselli is not the only example of a multiple-offer magnet. There was 1462 11th Avenue, a 2BR/1BA single-family house with an okay bonus room on the garage level that was listed at $649,000. The home  is being sold via court confirmation, which means the accepted offer will be subject to an overbid in court. However, that scenario did not deter the eight buyers who made offers. The winning offer? Somewhere in the neighborhood of $820,000, with a first overbid of $862,550. Another example was over at 119 Joost in Sunnyside, a 3BR/1BA single-family home within walking distance to downtown Glen Park. Listed at $689,000, the sellers received about ten offers and the selling price is reportedly well above $700,000.

To be sure, buyers aren’t flocking to just any property in any neighborhood in the city. Making the cut are typically vacant two-unit buildings or single-family homes in central locations near public transportation, restaurants, services and cafes. Particularly popular are areas like Noe Valley (see the recent SF Chronicle article about my ‘hood here); Mission Dolores; Eureka Valley; prime parts of Bernal Heights; the Inner Sunset/Richmond; and Sunnyside.

What’s fueling this sudden urgency among buyers? For one thing, the low interest rates are convincing people that they can lock in a favorable fixed rate and put their mortgage payments on auto pilot. I also think the reality is setting in that prices are not plummeting in the near future, and that we may have hit our low point in the more popular neighborhoods. Get in now before prices go up any higher, the thinking is likely going.

I do have one piece of advice for buyers: Use the list price as a mere reference point. For example, if the average value for a 2BR house in your favorite neighborhood is $800,000 and a great home comes on the market listed at $695,000, chances are good that the house will sell for significantly more than asking.

SF Real Estate Forges Ahead in 2012

The San Francisco real estate market isn’t showing any signs of slowing down. Buyers went into contract in December on 94 single-family homes, 77 condos and 24 TICs, obviously taking advantage of the low interest rates and end-of-year bargains.

The last quarter of 2011 stayed on par with that of 2010. A total of 635 houses sold at an average of $987,196, again proving that the under-$1M club is still kickin’ when it comes to inventory being moved. There were 493 condos that sold at an average of $784,173. Again, not a big change from the same time in 2010.

Current inventory is fairly low, which isn’t surprising for this time of year. I’m expecting more sellers to put their homes on the market as the month wears on; those who are motivated or have to sell will be in a good position with respect to pent-up buyer demand.

Though loans are still a challenge to obtain due to tighter lender scrutiny, plenty of properties are selling. The key factor in closing sales in 2012 will be due diligence—making sure that lenders are aware of all buyer details up front. These days, I continue to insist upon lenders reviewing full buyer and property documentation before an offer is even made (especially when it comes to condo purchases). This guards against a lot of wasted time and buyer/seller disappointment.

I’m expecting a busier year in terms of volume in 2012, based on my own experience, as well as conversations with my colleagues. It will likely be business as usual, which means carefully navigating escrows by skillfully handing negotiations and addressing lender concerns.

MarketTracker: Noe Valley Spotlight, Pac Heights Mega Sale

Single-family homes sales up 2.1% in the last 180 days? Check. Condo sales down? Check.

The latest Zephyr MarketTracker drills down on the most recent San Francisco sales, and also includes a look at Noe Valley and the most expensive sale in the city.

It’s all here in MarketTracker.

SF Market Heads Into Home Stretch

The third quarter of 2011 is under our belts, and it’s a good time to assess the current San Francisco market.

My response to the typical “How’s the market?” inquiry that I get from clients, neighbors and friends continues to be: “It depends where you’re talking about.” San Francisco has its fog/warm weather microclimates, and it also has real estate microclimates. Since the downturn of 2008, some neighborhoods have been moving along somewhat unscathed (Pacific Heights, Noe Valley), while others continue to take dives (Ingleside, Bayview). Additionally, certain price ranges have been going gangbusters, while others have dried up.

There’s still new development happening in the city, though on a smaller scale. Though we don’t have any big highrises in the works, a number of small-scale (i.e., four  to six units) new construction properties continue to hit the market. So funding for these projects has not diminished.

A total of 576 single-family homes sold in the third quarter at an average of $966,113. They spent an average of 61 days on market, which is far below that of the national or even state average. But the real news here is the fact that almost half of these houses sold in the $500,000-$1M price range. And only 159 homes sold above $1M.

There’s a similar story on the condo end of things. 504 condos sold in the last quarter, with 300 such properties selling in that same $500,000-$1M range. Only 68 sold above $1M. The average condo price? $711,029.

However, the luxury segment of the market has been relatively strong, despite the economy. For example, a $5,750,000 Nob Hill penthouse in “raw condition” changed hands recently and is now ready for the new owner to renovate. There were also a fair number of multi-million dollar cash sales that took place.

Sellers ended up withdrawing listings or letting them expire in a big way. A total of 286 houses and almost 400 condos fell into this category in the third quarter—a very high number for only a few months’ time. That means there are still many sellers out there who haven’t yet adjusted to the fact that their properties may not be what they believe they’re worth.

I’m seeing strong buyer activity heading into the fourth quarter, fueled by the low interest rates and healthy job market in the San Francisco area (particularly where tech companies are concerned). My prediction for sales numbers by year end is that they’ll be an improvement over 2010, but not by a landslide. We still have a few years to go before we emerge from the murky waters of the current real estate pond.

Sales Rise for Big Units in Hip ‘Hoods

One trend I’m seeing this year is an increase in sales for large condos and TICs in hot neighborhoods like the Haight, Hayes Valley, Mission Dolores, and NoPa. What I think is happening—and which I’ve also heard from some of my colleagues—is that buyers are snapping up these properties due to their need for more space to accommodate existing or growing family needs. It’s also likely that these buyers have been priced out of the single-family home market in these areas, which offer proximity to restaurants, shops and easy access to public transportation.

Indeed, I’ve seen my share of 3BR/2BA condos and TICs in the aforementioned areas on broker tours this year. There are currently eleven such condos and TICs on the market at a list price average of $933,717, with a 1,688 square feet average. And there are nine such units in contract, at a list price average of $828,389. The average size of these units has been about 1800 square feet.

Recent sales have been brisk. A total of 47 three-bedroom+ condos and TICs have sold year-to-date at an average of $874,015. With an average sales price for a single-family house in these neighborhoods clocking in year to date at $2,180,222, you can see why some buyers are settling for well-located, spacious condos instead.

Valencia Street Update, SF Home Tours & Latest Sales

The latest MarketTracker report features an update on the ever-changing scene on Valencia in the Mission, along with the deets on the upcoming AIA SF Home Tours. Plus, the big news at 5800 3rd Street in Bayview and a look at the most recent San Francisco sales.

It’s all here in the Zephyr MarketTracker.

MarketTracker: Latest Sales & SF Parking Deets

The SF Park Program is up and running, so get hip to the deets so you know how much to expect to pay for a spot. And some spaces have been bounced in favor of the ever-popular parklets. Check out some of the newest additions. Plus, Mission Bay’s Madrone previews units at its sales office opening and a roundup of latest city sales.

It’s all here in this issue of MarketTracker.

Cash Buyer Saves the Day for Corona Cottage

The last-minute, “foreclosure-is-extended” activity at the short sale cottage over at 3066 Market at Hattie in Corona Heights led to positive results for everyone involved.  The small fixer property hit the market in April for $710,000 and subsequently had its share of price reductions. Time was ticking, though, and foreclosure was imminent. After being withdrawn from the MLS toward the end of June, the seller brought the home back on the market at $499,000, and the listing agents informed everyone that the only hope for a sale was that a cash buyer would step in and close by July 7th.

It happened! 3066 Market closed earlier this week for $485,500. Not a bad deal at all, and one to note if you’re in the market for a single-family home for under $500,000 in San Francisco (a rarity).

Q2 in SF: How’d We Do?

The first half of 2011 is in the bag. Our San Francisco real estate market has been seeing its share of ups and downs–and so have its buyers and sellers.

I’ve observed a fair share of what I like to call “mood swings” in the market. On the one hand, there are properties that are sitting on the market and ultimately selling for far below their original list prices. This outcome has been most common among luxury properties.

But on the other hand, some homes are garnering multiple offers and sales prices for well above their list prices. For example, a single-family home on a coveted block in Cole Valley was recently listed for $1,095,000 and ended up selling for $1,350,000. (And it needed updating.)

A total of 622 houses sold in the second quarter of this year, at an average of $991,747. Only 176 of the homes sold for more than $1M. On the condo side of things, a total of 573 units sold at an average of $792,797. The takeaway? Prices aren’t plummeting in San Francisco.

Multi-unit buildings seem to be very popular these days with buyers looking to owner occupy and invest for the long term. A total of 99 two- to four-unit properties sold in the second quarter across all price ranges. Some buyers are paying top dollar for the opportunity to own such buildings in desirable north end neighborhoods such as Pacific Heights and Russian Hill.

There are currently 568 single-family homes, 652 condos, and 158 TICs available.  And 411 houses, 363 condos, and 62 TICs are in contract. Inventory is actually a bit light due to the summer months. But I’m anticipating that the usual flood of activity will occur in September and October.

San Francisco continues to see its share of rapidly selling foreclosure properties, as well as an increasing number of short sales. However, only a handful of neighborhoods are seeing the bulk of these sales.

MarketTracker: Latest SF Sales & More

Check out the latest city sales, along with an update on Treasure Island. Plus: What’s new on San Francisco sidewalks for the summer and the battle between West Portal and Portola!

It’s all here in the mid June Zephyr MarketTracker.

How’s The Market In: Outer Parkside

I’m in escrow with buyers on a lovely house in the Outer Parkside, so I thought I’d throw out a market snapshot of the neighborhood and kill two birds with one stone. I’ve always been a fan of the Outer Parkside, particularly after selling my listing on 45th Avenue a couple years ago. I liked driving out to the beach to show that house and felt like I was partially on vacation when I did so. It was a great way to get a break from the more hectic parts of the city.

And many others apparently agree. The typical buyer demographic these days in the Outer Parkside is a combination of young couples and families seeking a single-family home with reasonable space and the elusive third bedroom (which usually comes in the form of an unwarranted room down). Buyers with FHA financing are also quite common, as the home prices fall within typical FHA ranges.

The Outer Parkside is bordered by Ortega on the north, Sunset on the east, Sloat on the south and the Great Highway on the west:

A total of 32 single-family homes have sold in the Outer Parkside since January 1, 2011 at an average of $592,648. A bulk of those properties sold in the high $500,000s-mid $600,000s, which is very indicative of values there. The most expensive home sold was a 3BR/3BA property with about 3,000 square feet that changed hands after 112 days on the market for $800,000. And the least expensive home was a 3BR/3BA, 1950-square foot bank-owned home that sold in 163 days for $445,000 in an all-cash transaction.

There are currently 15 homes in contract, including one listing on the Great Highway that started out at $1.4M but was reduced to just above $1M before having an offer accepted. The other properties carry list prices of the high $500,000s. And there are 16 homes currently available, including another Great Highway property listed at $1,550,000. That one was a former church originally built as a vacation retreat. My pick of the current crop is 2120 Sloat (pictured above). Listed at $598,888, the 2BR/1BA is located on a busy stretch of Sloat, but is in close proximity to the beach and nearby Lakeshore shopping area. There’s probably negotiating room in the price, and the house is clean and move-in ready.

The bottom line on the Outer Parkside is that it’s one of those neighborhoods that will always fill the need for a buyer who wants a cute house in a clean, safe neighborhood with access to shopping areas and recreation. And some houses will get you those ocean views, too.

The Highs & Lows of SF Real Estate

The San Francisco market certainly has its ups and downs like any other. And what’s driving sales are buyers and sellers who are able to come to agreement on price. For every property that sells for under its asking price, there seems to be one that swings in the opposite direction and raises eyebrows.

So I like to periodically present snapshots of sales that exemplify our current mood swing market. I noticed a couple highs and lows this week in Noe Valley and Ingleside Terrace that are worth a look:

High: 557 Hill, Noe Valley

557 Hill was last sold in 2005 for $2,275,000. The 3BR/3.5BA, 3,000-square foot home with two-car parking was listed again in mid March  at $2,485,000. It was on the market for five days and closed escrow in mid April for $2.6M. So much for the widely held beliefs that properties have lost value since the go-go years of 2005.

Low: 230 Urbano, Ingleside Terrace

230 Urbano is a 3BR/2BA, almost 4,000 square foot home near the neighborhood’s Sun Dial (a nice stretch of green). It was pretty basic inside–perfectly liveable, but could use some updates. The property was listed in September 2010 for a whoppin’ $1.4M. It was reduced a month later to $1.2M and then to $1,139,000 before going into contract and selling for…$973,000 last week for all cash.

Buyers Seek Value in SF Homes

 

Sales in San Francisco these days tend to spin my head in more circles than this spiral staircase at 135 Locust in Presidio Heights. The 4BR/3.5BA single-family home was listed at $3M on March 4th and closed this past week for $3.4M.

Yes, we’re in a buyers’ market. But the reality is that buyers are quick to decide what market value may be for a given home, and they’ll bid accordingly. To that end, there are 563 single-family homes available which have been on the market for an average of 73 days, along with 666 condos with an average of 74 days on market. Thus, a majority of sellers out there aren’t appreciating anecdotes like the one connected to 135 Locust.

Overbidding isn’t unusual, but it’s typically been happening with homes that are listed below the average selling price of comparable properties. (For example, word on the street about Locust was that it was priced low.) But what will keep the market moving will be active negotiation and reasonably priced homes.

SF Market Snapshot: Q1 2011

The first quarter of the year is under our belt, and it’s a good time to evaluate the San Francisco real estate market.

I’m not the type of Realtor who sugarcoats my industry. Though lots of homes are selling in the city, let’s face it: We’ll never see the go-go years of the mid-2000s again. Lending is a whole different ballgame, and there are simply less buyers who can qualify for mortgages. Many individuals are electing to spend hefty amounts of money per month on rents that will let them live in the neighborhoods they like, without needing top credit scores or 20% down for a comparable owned property.

The job market is better than it was a couple years ago in The Bay Area, with tech companies like Apple and Google hiring and others opening headquarters in San Francisco. (And Peninsula tech shuttles are still the hot mode of transportation for Silicon Valley works who insist on living in southern neighborhoods like Noe Valley and Mission Dolores.) But it will take longer for other industries to catch up and offer high-paying positions to large numbers of individuals.

Buyers and sellers, however, are doing steady business in the city. A total of 468 houses sold in the first quarter of this year, at a rather high average of $927,008. 109 of those houses sold for more than $1M—and 38 even changed hands for more than $2M—but the rest were under the $1M mark. That tells you that the sweet spot of the market continues to be the tried and true $400,000-$800,000 price range.

There were 477 condos that sold for an average of $696,326, with the most expensive being a unit in One Rincon for $2M. Again, the bulk of condos sold were less than $1M, with a condo in Bayview selling for as little as $108,000.

The withdrawn/expired segment was somewhat consistent with the first quarter of 2010, though the 433 houses and condos that sellers pulled from the market was a slightly higher number than the 428 withdrawn or expired properties in Q1 2010. I’m guessing that many of the sellers in this category are still disappointed with the current values of their properties, and have decided to take the “I’ll-sell-if-I-can-get-$X” approach vs. selling for what the market will bear.

There are currently 631 condos and 560 single-family homes available, with 372 condos and 398 houses in contract. Surprisingly, a modest number of those homes got into contract via multiple offers. However, in those cases, the strategy involved setting a list price below comparable values. That still seems to lure buyers in, particularly with properties that have central locations and independent parking.

It’s important for homeowners who are considering selling their properties this year to pay close attention to the comparable sales from the first quarter. These sales are the ones that will genuinely dictate where the market is at the moment.

SoMa Bowling, Battle of the Avenues

The latest MarketTracker gives you the update on the Lucky Strikes bowling lane in SoMa, and takes a look at a deconstructed Nob Hill penthouse. Plus: Battle of the Avenues in the Richmond and Sunset, and sales stats for the past two weeks.

It’s all here in the Zephyr MarketTracker.