Category Archives: Market News

Here Are My SF Real Estate Predictions for 2018

Here Are My SF Real Estate Predictions for 2018

I recently hauled out my crystal ball to take a shot at predicting what will be happening in the San Francisco real estate market in 2018.

One thing’s for sure: I’m ready to help lots of new buyer and seller clients, so don’t hesitate to get in touch if you’d like to work together this year. In the meantime, here’s what I think you can expect over the next 12 months: Continue Reading

Mission’s 1188 Valencia Half Sold Out

Mission’s 1188 Valencia Half Sold Out

Home buyers have given the Mission’s 1188 Valencia condo development a warm welcome, snapping up half of its 49 units since the project came online in December.

I stopped in to see the remaining inventory on broker tour this week, and wasn’t surprised to hear about the rapid-fire sales progress. As far as location goes, it’s a slam dunk on the corner of 23rd and Valencia—near BART and everything else along the Mission’s most popular retail corridor. Continue Reading

SF Condo Market Mixed in 2017

The San Francisco condo market was not quite as jubilant as its single-family home counterpart in 2017. Yes, there were the random instances of 25%+ overbids, and an eight percent, year-over-year increase in the average condo price. But we basically saw a repeat of 2016, with prices flatlining.

The average citywide price of a condo in the fourth quarter of 2017 was approximately $1.3M—up from $1,210,000 in Q4 2016. We also saw the average price-per-square foot end up at $1,052, which was a four percent increase year over year. Continue Reading

SF House Market Soars (Again) in 2017

A strong local economy coupled with high buyer demand fueled the San Francisco single-family home market in 2017 amidst a backdrop of concerns about things like the new presidential administration, North Korea and a possible real estate bubble.

2017 was basically a continuation of the 2016 market—high prices, multiple offers, extreme overbids, discouraged buyers and happy sellers.

The good news for homeowners is that the average price of a house in the fourth quarter of 2017 was almost $1.9M. The bad news—if you can call it that—is that the average price rose less than 2.5% over Q4 2016. Given that we’ve seen double-digit growth over the past few years, this minimal increase is worth noting as we head into 2018. Continue Reading

What You Need to Know About the SF Market

When I first meet with a buyer who’s new to the San Francisco real estate market, we discuss the realities of how our market is operating. Because unless you have a full understanding of what to expect, you could spend months wasting time—and not getting what you want.

The market has been pretty consistent all year, with high demand and insufficient inventory. I don’t expect that to change in the near future, even if we can no longer deduct property taxes and have a cap on mortgage interest deductions. So here are the things you need to know and navigate in order to be a successful buyer in 2018: Continue Reading

Luxury Market Sees Extreme Overbids in October

Luxury Market Sees Extreme Overbids in October

October has been the month for buyers in the $2M+ range to throw hundreds of thousands of dollars over asking for single-family homes (and one condo) in various neighborhoods across the city.

Deep-pocketed buyers are obviously feeling pretty cheeky about our Bay Area economy.

The most egregious example of extreme overbidding happened at 128 26th Avenue in the Lake District (see photo, left). The custom 4BR/2.5 home at the Sea Cliff entrance has a roof deck with panoramic views, and was listed for $2,995,000. So why not pay a million dollars more, right? That’s exactly what happened, as the sale closed on October 20th for $3,910,000.

Here are a few more extreme overbids that went on the books in October:
1 Miguel | Glen Park
3BR/2.5BA
List price: $1,675,000
Sale price: $2,600,000 Continue Reading

ADU Program Creates Opportunity for SF Homeowners

San Francisco put its Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU) program into action in 2016, aiming to create more housing in the city. ADUs are also known as in-law units, secondary units and cottages. They can be great for children moving back after college, or a parent you’d like to move into your home. You can also rent out an ADU, which is an excellent way to supplement your income or plan for retirement. Continue Reading

Summer 2017 Wraps Up in SF Real Estate

The San Francisco market held its own this past summer, with inventory and value levels that didn’t change much from the summer of 2016.

The average price of a single-family home, citywide, was $1,692,000, up only slightly from $1,678,000 last summer. Sold volume was essentially the same, with 634 houses sold. Continue Reading

What’s Selling Now: New Construction Condos

It can be mind numbing trying to track sales of the more than 1,000 new construction condos currently on the market. After all, there are more than 17 projects actively selling units in a variety of neighborhoods, and sales offices play things close to the vest. You’ll find a limited number of units listed on real estate Web sites; pricing is typically not public and changes continuously based on the most recent sales.

So if you’re drawn to brand new condos, where do you begin to look? With the help of my company, Zephyr Real Estate, I pulled together the vital deets on some of my favorite projects. Note: I am not on the sales teams for any of these projects, but can represent you independently. This means I can get you started with a loan preapproval and walk you through the contract and the entire process—looking out for your best interests.

So check out what’s on tap, and give me a shout if you’d like to explore your options within any of these projects:

201 Folsom (Lumina)
Neighborhood: South Beach

The Homes: 656 condos that are selling quickly
The Perks: Club lounge, private dining room, rooftop terrace, concierge, business center, children’s and game rooms, music practice room, pool, fitness center, spa, pet grooming station, screening room and market
What’s Left: Fewer than 300 units, project is 85% sold and they are now on their last release in Building B. Corner units are in short supply.
The Prices: 1BRs: $1,000,000-$1,700,000; 2BRs: $1,500,000-$3,000,000; 3BRs: $3,100,000+; penthouses: $8,000,000+
Buy If: You are looking for a luxury building with A+ amenities and views
Developer Tishman Speyer Continue Reading

One-Bedroom Houses Command $1M+ Prices

One-Bedroom Houses Command $1M+ Prices

One-bedroom houses may have their limitations, but they represent opportunity to many San Francisco buyers. We’ve seen eight single-family homes sell for well north of $1,000,000 in 2017, and the buyers for these properties seem to fall into two camps: contractors looking for development projects, and owner occupiers who’d rather spend their money on a house than a condo—and can do their own remodel in the future.

Take 830 Rhode Island (photo, above), for example. The one-bedroom, 936-square foot Potrero Hill Victorian hit the market for $1,149,000 and was purchased by a developer for all cash. The sale closed for $1,475,000 last week. At least three other contractor buyers also made offers on Rhode Island, as well. Continue Reading

State of the TIC Market: August 2017

The tenancy-in-common (TIC) market remains strong in popular neighborhoods like Noe Valley and Russian Hill, especially if that TIC is in a two-unit building.

Buyers haven’t shied away from purchasing TIC interests, despite limitations related to 2013 legislation that significantly reduced the number of properties allowed to condo convert. Many TIC owners have resigned themselves to the reality that they hold title to “permanent” TICs.

TICs in two-unit buildings aren’t affected by that legislation if each unit is 100% owner occupied. In that case, both owners can pursue “fast track” condo conversion. Continue Reading

Condo Market Still Flat at the 2017 Midpoint

If you’re searching for a home to buy, you may have noticed that there’s plenty of inventory in the condo market. While almost every single-family home that comes on the market slams into contract within a week or two with multiple offers, that isn’t really the case with condos. Many are selling for at or even below asking, and buyers aren’t typically paying 20% or more above the list price.

There are 341 condos available at the moment, with an average price-per-square-foot list price of $1,140. But interestingly, more than half of these units have been on the market for 21 days or more. (By San Francisco real estate standards, that amount of time hints at a property that’s sitting on the market.) Continue Reading

Massive Overbids from Luxury Buyers Continue

Massive Overbids from Luxury Buyers Continue

I first blogged about the huge overbids I was seeing in the luxury market back in May.

Well, that trend continued throughout the second quarter, with multiple high-end buyers throwing hundreds of thousands of dollars over the list price at happy sellers.

One of my favorites was that small house (photo, left) at 1238 Stanyan in Cole Valley. Renovated in 1969, the modest four-bedroom home had views and was on a deep lot—code for development potential. Stanyan was listed for $2,750,000. But the buyers were feeling extra generous and the sale closed for $4,000,000 in May. Continue Reading

Single-Family Home Market Heats Up in Q2 2017

San Francisco house buyers battled it out for much of the second quarter as prices ticked up in our sellers’ market.

The average price of a single-family home jumped by four percent over the previous quarter, with an average citywide price of $1,832,323. Sales reflected the continued list-low, sell-for-more pattern, and many buyers didn’t hesitate to throw hundreds of thousands of dollars over the list price to win their home. Continue Reading

Get in touch:

Eileen Bermingham

Zephyr Real Estate

415.823.4656

ebermingham@zephyrsf.com

BRE# 01352627

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